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Prediction for CME (2024-07-19T21:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2024-07-19T21:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/32064/-1
CME Note: [IN REVIEW] CME visible in the SE of SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. Overlaps with CME: 2024-07-19T22:24Z in the field of view of the coronagraphs. The source is likely a filament eruption stretching diagonally from S40E20 to S20W02 starting around 2024-07-19T18:30Z with dimming seen in SDO AIA 193 and post-eruptive arcades beginning around 2024-07-19T20:30Z as seen in SDO/AIA 304 and 193. The eruption is also visible in STEREO A EUV imagery following a data gap from 2024-07-19T13:35Z to 22:55Z.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2024-07-23T19:48Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-07-23T03:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.5 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 75.93 hour(s)
Difference: 16.80 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-07-20T15:52Z
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